At the commencement of this PhD, next generation sequencing technologies were increasingly being implemented for public health surveillance of infectious diseases; the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated this globally. The applications of this technology are protean, from detection of novel pathogens, to tracing the source of cases with no obvious transmission link, to surveillance for emerging strains with increased transmissibility or immune evasion, and to detection of determinants of virulence or antimicrobial resistance. The questions that can be addressed and potential implications depend on the ecology, epidemiology, and public health response for each pathogen. In this thesis, I use genomic sequencing to investigate the epidemiology of three bacterial pathogens that cause community-acquired infection in the NT Top End.

Each case of melioidosis results from a single event when a human is infected by the environmental bacterium Burkholderia pseudomallei. Darwin in tropical northern Australia has the highest incidences of melioidosis globally and the Darwin Prospective Melioidosis Study (DPMS) commenced in 1989, documenting all culture confirmed melioidosis cases. From 2000-2019 we sampled DPMS patient's environments for B. pseudomallei when a specific location was considered to have been where infection occurred. With the aim to use genomic epidemiology to understand B. pseudomallei transmission and infecting scenarios. Environmental sampling was performed at 98 DPMS patient sites, where we collected 975 environmental samples (742 soil; 233 water). Genotyping matched the clinical and epidemiologically linked environmental B. pseudomallei for 19 patients (19%), with the environmental isolates cultured from soil (n=11) or water (n=8) sources. B. pseudomallei isolates from patients and their local environments that matched on genotyping were whole genome sequenced (WGS). Of the 19 patients with a clinical-environmental genotype match, 17 pairs clustered on a Darwin core genome single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) phylogeny, later confirmed by single ST phylogenies and pairwise comparative genomics. When related back to patient clinical scenarios, the matched clinical and environmental B. pseudomallei pairs informed likely modes of infection: percutaneous inoculation, inhalation, and ingestion. Targeted environmental sampling for B. pseudomallei can inform infecting scenarios for melioidosis and dangerous occupational and recreational activities and identify hot spots of B. pseudomallei presence. However, WGS and careful genomics are required to avoid overcalling the relatedness between clinical and environmental isolates of B. pseudomallei.

BACKGROUND: A cornerstone of Australia's ability to control COVID-19 has been effective border control with an extensive supervised quarantine programme. However, a rapid recrudescence of COVID-19 was observed in the state of Victoria in June, 2020. We aim to describe the genomic findings that located the source of this second wave and show the role of genomic epidemiology in the successful elimination of COVID-19 for a second time in Australia. METHODS: In this observational, genomic epidemiological study, we did genomic sequencing of all laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 diagnosed in Victoria, Australia between Jan 25, 2020, and Jan 31, 2021. We did phylogenetic analyses, genomic cluster discovery, and integrated results with epidemiological data (detailed information on demographics, risk factors, and exposure) collected via interview by the Victorian Government Department of Health. Genomic transmission networks were used to group multiple genomic clusters when epidemiological and genomic data suggested they arose from a single importation event and diversified within Victoria. To identify transmission of emergent lineages between Victoria and other states or territories in Australia, all publicly available SARS-CoV-2 sequences uploaded before Feb 11, 2021, were obtained from the national sequence sharing programme AusTrakka, and epidemiological data were obtained from the submitting laboratories. We did phylodynamic analyses to estimate the growth rate, doubling time, and number of days from the first local infection to the collection of the first sequenced genome for the dominant local cluster, and compared our growth estimates to previously published estimates from a similar growth phase of lineage B.1.1.7 (also known as the Alpha variant) in the UK. FINDINGS: Between Jan 25, 2020, and Jan 31, 2021, there were 20 451 laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Victoria, Australia, of which 15 431 were submitted for sequencing, and 11 711 met all quality control metrics and were included in our analysis. We identified 595 genomic clusters, with a median of five cases per cluster (IQR 2-11). Overall, samples from 11 503 (98·2%) of 11 711 cases clustered with another sample in Victoria, either within a genomic cluster or transmission network. Genomic analysis revealed that 10 426 cases, including 10 416 (98·4%) of 10 584 locally acquired cases, diagnosed during the second wave (between June and October, 2020) were derived from a single incursion from hotel quarantine, with the outbreak lineage (transmission network G, lineage D.2) rapidly detected in other Australian states and territories. Phylodynamic analyses indicated that the epidemic growth rate of the outbreak lineage in Victoria during the initial growth phase (samples collected between June 4 and July 9, 2020; 47·4 putative transmission events, per branch, per year [1/years; 95% credible interval 26·0-85·0]), was similar to that of other reported variants, such as B.1.1.7 in the UK (mean approximately 71·5 1/years). Strict interventions were implemented, and the outbreak lineage has not been detected in Australia since Oct 29, 2020. Subsequent cases represented independent international or interstate introductions, with limited local spread. INTERPRETATION: Our study highlights how rapid escalation of clonal outbreaks can occur from a single incursion. However, strict quarantine measures and decisive public health responses to emergent cases are effective, even with high epidemic growth rates. Real-time genomic surveillance can alter the way in which public health agencies view and respond to COVID-19 outbreaks. FUNDING: The Victorian Government, the National Health and Medical Research Council Australia, and the Medical Research Future Fund.

Community-onset bacteremic Acinetobacter baumannii pneumonia recurred in 3 of 30 (10%) patients followed prospectively, all with ongoing hazardous alcohol intake, 3-56 months after initial pneumonia. Paired isolates underwent whole-genome sequencing. Phylogenetic analysis showed that recurrence strains were all distinct from preceding strains, indicating reinfection in susceptible individuals rather than relapse.

Melioidosis is an important cause of community-acquired sepsis in Southeast Asia and northern Australia, and pneumonia is the most common presentation. Clinical manifestations range from acute fulminant sepsis to chronic infection mimicking tuberculosis. Pneumonia may be the primary presenting feature, or it can develop secondary to initial disease at a distant focus. A prospective database of all melioidosis patients at Royal Darwin Hospital (Australia) between 1989 and 2010 was reviewed. Of 624 patients with culture-confirmed melioidosis, 319 (51%) presented with pneumonia as the primary diagnosis. Acute/subacute presentations accounted for the majority of primary pneumonia cases (91%); chronic disease was seen less commonly (9%). Secondary pneumonia developed in 20% of patients with other primary melioidosis presentations and was particularly common in those with positive blood cultures. Risk factors for presentation with primary pneumonia (compared with other primary presentations) were rheumatic heart disease or congestive cardiac failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, smoking, and diabetes mellitus, with P < .05 for these conditions in a multivariate logistic regression model. Patients presenting with pneumonia more frequently developed septic shock (33% vs 10%; P < .001) and died (20% vs 8%; P <.001) compared with patients with other primary presentations. Multilobar disease occurred in 28% of primary pneumonia patients and was associated with greater mortality (32%) than in those with single-lobe disease (14%; P < .001). Melioidosis pneumonia is often a rapidly progressive illness with high mortality, particularly among those with multilobar disease. Risk factors have been identified, and early diagnosis and treatment should be priorities.

No abstract available

BACKGROUND: The Northern Territory (NT) has the highest tuberculosis (TB) rate of all Australian jurisdictions. We combined TB public health surveillance data with genomic sequencing of Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates in the tropical 'Top End' of the NT to investigate trends in TB incidence and transmission. METHODS: This retrospective observational study included all 741 culture-confirmed cases of TB in the Top End over three decades from 1989-2020. All 497 available M. tuberculosis isolates were sequenced. We used contact tracing data to define a threshold pairwise SNP distance for hierarchical single linkage clustering, and examined putative transmission clusters in the context of epidemiologic information. FINDINGS: There were 359 (48%) cases born overseas, 329 (44%) cases among Australian First Nations peoples, and 52 (7%) cases were Australian-born and non-Indigenous. The annual incidence in First Nations peoples from 1989-2019 fell from average 50.4 to 11.0 per 100,000 (P<0·001). First Nations cases were more likely to die from TB (41/329, 12·5%) than overseas-born cases (11/359, 3·1%; P<0·001). Using a threshold of ≤12 SNPs, 28 clusters of between 2-64 individuals were identified, totalling 250 cases; 214 (86%) were First Nations cases and 189 (76%) were from a remote region. The time between cases and past epidemiologically- and genomically-linked contacts ranged from 4·5 months to 24 years. INTERPRETATION: Our findings support prioritisation of timely case detection, contact tracing augmented by genomic sequencing, and latent TB treatment to break transmission chains in Top End remote hotspot regions.

Tuberculosis is a leading public health priority in eastern Malaysia. Knowledge of the genomic epidemiology of tuberculosis can help tailor public health interventions. Our aims were to determine tuberculosis genomic epidemiology and characterize resistance mutations in the ethnically diverse city of Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, located at the nexus of Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines and Brunei. We used an archive of prospectively collected Mycobacterium tuberculosis samples paired with epidemiological data. We collected sputum and demographic data from consecutive consenting outpatients with pulmonary tuberculosis at the largest tuberculosis clinic from 2012 to 2014, and selected samples from tuberculosis inpatients from the tertiary referral centre during 2012-2014 and 2016-2017. Two hundred and eight M. tuberculosis sequences were available for analysis, representing 8 % of cases notified during the study periods. Whole-genome phylogenetic analysis demonstrated that most strains were lineage 1 (195/208, 93.8 %), with the remainder being lineages 2 (8/208, 3.8 %) or 4 (5/208, 2.4 %). Lineages or sub-lineages were not associated with patient ethnicity. The lineage 1 strains were diverse, with sub-lineage 1.2.1 being dominant (192, 98 %). Lineage 1.2.1.3 isolates were geographically most widely distributed. The greatest diversity occurred in a border town sub-district. The time to the most recent common ancestor for the three major lineage 1.2.1 clades was estimated to be the year 1966 (95 % HPD 1948-1976). An association was found between failure of culture conversion by week 8 of treatment and infection with lineage 2 (4/6, 67 %) compared with lineage 1 strains (4/83, 5 %) (P<0.001), supporting evidence of greater virulence of lineage 2 strains. Eleven potential transmission clusters (SNP difference ≤12) were identified; at least five included people living in different sub-districts. Some linked cases spanned the whole 4-year study period. One cluster involved a multidrug-resistant tuberculosis strain matching a drug-susceptible strain from 3 years earlier. Drug resistance mutations were uncommon, but revealed one phenotype-genotype mismatch in a genotypically multidrug-resistant isolate, and rare nonsense mutations within the katG gene in two isolates. Consistent with the regionally mobile population, M. tuberculosis strains in Kota Kinabalu were diverse, although several lineage 1 strains dominated and were locally well established. Transmission clusters - uncommonly identified, likely attributable to incomplete sampling - showed clustering occurring across the community, not confined to households or sub-districts. The findings indicate that public health priorities should include active case finding and early institution of tuberculosis management in mobile populations, while there is a need to upscale effective contact investigation beyond households to include other contacts within social networks.

is the causative agent of melioidosis, a disease highly endemic to Southeast Asia and northern Australia, though the area of endemicity is expanding. Cases may occur in returning travelers or, rarely, from imported contaminated products. Identification of is challenging for laboratories that do not see this organism frequently, and misidentifications by matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time of flight mass spectrometry (MALDI-TOF MS) and automated biochemical testing have been reported. The diagnostic database for use with the Vitek MS has recently been updated to include and we aimed to validate the performance for identification in comparison to automated biochemical testing with the Vitek 2 GN card, quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) targeting the type III secretion system, and capsular polysaccharide antigen detection using a lateral flow immunoassay (LFA). We tested a "derivation" cohort including geographically diverse and a range of closely related species, and a prospective "validation" cohort of and complex clinical isolates. MALDI-TOF MS had a sensitivity of 1.0 and specificity of 1.0 for the identification and differentiation of from related species when a certainty cutoff of 99.9% was used. In contrast, automated biochemical testing for identification had a sensitivity of 0.83 and specificity of 0.88. Both qPCR and LFA correctly identified all isolates with no false positives. Due to the high level of accuracy, we have now incorporated MALDI-TOF MS into our laboratory's identification workflow.IMPORTANCE causes melioidosis, a disease associated with high morbidity and mortality that disproportionately affects rural areas in Southeast Asia and northern Australia. The known area of endemicity is expanding and now includes the continental United States. Laboratory identification can be challenging which may result in missed or delayed diagnoses and poor patient outcomes. In this study, we compared mass spectrometry using an updated spectral database with multiple other methods for identification and found mass spectrometry highly accurate. We have therefore incorporated this fast and cost-effective method into our laboratory's workflow for identification.